PNASJClub
Forcing dataset updates impact regional but not global Earth radiation budget trends in the GFDL AM4 climate model.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · · Journal Article
Fan, Paynter + more
Abstract ↗AI summary
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Using the CMIP7 forcing dataset (extended through 2021) in the GFDL AM4 model under SSP2-4.5 does not improve global-mean top-of-atmosphere radiation trend agreement with satellites.
- Why it matters: Up-to-date forcing data are needed to reconcile climate model simulations with contemporary observations, but the impact of forcing updates on radiation-budget trends is uncertain.
- What they did: They reran GFDL AM4 with updated CMIP7 forcings for 2001–2021 under SSP2-4.5, then compared simulated global and regional top-of-atmosphere radiation trends against satellite observations.
- The result: Regionally, East Asia shows accelerated sulfate and black carbon aerosol reductions linked to a significant decline in atmospheric solar absorption that matches observations, while higher-latitude organic aerosol increases produce a localized atmospheric absorption rise that does not match.
The findingWhy it mattersWhat they didThe result
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