Modelling the expected and potentially preventable burden of infection-related cancer among newly arrived migrants in the European Union

Among newly arrived migrants in the European Union, lifetime modelling estimates 635,000 infection-related cancer cases: 144,000 hepatocellular carcinoma, 155,000 cervical cancer, and 336,000 gastric cancer.

• Why it matters: Entry health assessments for this ECDC priority group could prevent infection-related cancers, but recommended interventions are rarely implemented, leaving a gap in expected preventable burden.
• What they did: Using migration, cancer incidence, and intervention data, the study modelled HCC, cervical cancer, and gastric cancer and estimated preventable proportions under full uptake of HBV vaccination, HBV/HCV screen-and-treat, HPV vaccination, cervical screening, and H. pylori screen-and-treat.
• The result: With full uptake, hepatitis interventions could prevent 15% of HCC; HPV vaccination and cervical screening could prevent 65% and 60% of cervical cancer among eligible migrants; and H. pylori screen-and-treat could prevent 44% of gastric cancer among all migrants.

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